I've only (slightly) messed around with 3.5, apparently, which is what is at https://chat.openai.com/. I don't know how to access 4.0. If someone tells me where to find it, I can give it a try. (For some reason, my Google searches have only turned up ways to get on wait lists, which I don't really want to bother with.)

I don't know you and don't want to belittle your prognostications, but I have to admit that I've heard "I personally predicted all of that" before. I never have been able to validate such claims, although I haven't bothered trying very hard. That said, I don't think it would have been too hard to predict color monitors and other hardware improvements. But those, to my way of thinking, are little things.

By the by, if someone said, in the 1980's, that we'd never own color monitors, they didn't know about the Apple I, which supported color monitors in 1976 and the Apple II which had a color monitor in 1977. "Predicting" color monitors in the 1980's would either be no prediction at all or at least a no-brainer, if talking about widespread commercial availability. Flat-screens would have been a more impressive prediction. Terrabyte drives, mmmmm, maybe, maybe not.

Anyway, I guess I don't much care about predictions. Whatever happens, happens. I have enough on my plate dealing with what's in my hands today without worrying about what's coming in 10 or 20 or 100 years. (I mean, aside from big-ticket items like, am I doing my part to reduce carbon emissions?)

I like computer technology. Computers have given me my career and made it easier to do many good things. They've also made it easier to do many bad things, as all technology does. Hammers can be used to build or commit murder. Technology is just tools in our hands. We decide how to use it. If I were to predict anything about AI, I would say it will make some things and offer us new capabilities. Some of those changes will benefit humanity. Some will cause us a lot of grief. But AI is neither going to save us nor destroy us, nor is it truly going to replace us.

Human intelligence bottled? Meh. We are more than the sum of the facts we know and the logic by which we reason (or don't reason). We are also moral, spiritual, emotional beings who have hopes and dreams and dreads and despairs. Maybe some of that can be mimicked to some degree, but at the moment I don't see where any of it can be truly bottled. I guess we'll find out.